海外研报
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Equity Strategy
SPW, an equal weighted S&P500 index, has stalled since March, and is behind SPX so far this year by more than 10%. We think this is reflecting a changing Growth-Policy narrative vs early 2024. Entering this year, investor expectations were for a
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Consumption Tax Not The Needof the Hour, Stimulus ls.
Recent government statements do not suggest any sense of urgency: Theconsumption tax was not mentioned in the annual fiscal auditing reportreleased on june 25, which discussed
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Global Data Watch: Asia China: Two policy meetings in July
The swing of cyclical policy reactions aftects business cycle fluctuations. A shiftto an accommodative policy stance in 2l23 led to activity recovery in 2H23 and1024, but the fading
海外研报
2024年07月05日
1st Positive Surprise of the Year
1. Deliveries beat, but... 2Q deliveries came to 443,956 units vs. MS at 427,303 and cons at 437,812. While this is one of the first and only positive
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Data Preview: Mixed Picture in June,
Data preview: mixed picture again in June, slower Q2 GDP growth momentumFor the upcoming June data release, we expect smaller y/y decline in property sales on alow base,
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Where are the conveXintlection/pain points in global markets?
Option delta hedging: a price movement amplifierDerivative trading can (significantly) impact asset prices via feedback effects of deltahedging strategies followed by option
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Three investment lessons for the second halfUBS House View - Daily US
Thought of the dayGlobal equities started the second half of 2024 on a positive note. The S&P500 edged up 0.3% to stand just 0.2% beneath the all-time closing highstruck on 18 June. The index is
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Cross asset ideas for yield
Summer simmerAs we approach midyear, Us large-cap stocks are holding on tosizzling gains, with the S&P 500 up 15% year to date andmaking several record highs, the latest set on 18 June. The
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Commodity mid-year 2024 outlook
Global commodities: With global economic growth cooling (not collapsing), we believe the leg lower on commodities since mid-May is only temporary. To put this
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Quarterly FX revisions
We have undertaken our quarterly FX revisions using the Bloomberg forwardcurve for the new quarter. Forecasts for F Y24 were left largely unchanged, exceptfor CSL where we
海外研报
2024年07月05日
