海外研报

Cycle Playbook – Preparing for a Peak

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of

THE PERKINS RULE REVISITED

I’ve had a lot of questions about the Perkins rule, the idea that it is a CONTRACTION INEMPLOYMENT that signals recession, not a gradual drift higher in the jobless rate (the

“Vast majority” of FOMC looking for September cut

A number of data releases will be on the docket, highlighted by PCE inflation for July. Also on tap are personal income & spending, Q224 GDP

Global FX Trader Counting Down to Cuts

USD: Cut but don’t run. The time for cuts has come, and FX markets clearlysee that as a time to short the Dollar. It is understandable because the Dollar