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        DeskTalk - Macro whispers of Trump 2.0 trades
                    US Treasuries are opening lower after a holiday in Tokyo. 2s10s curve is bull steepening though the move is likelyto be contained ahead of Fed Chair Powell's interview today. That said, our rates strategists think momentum, weak                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            Supply chain stresses coming back: Container freight rates at over half of Covid peaks
                    Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated. Apollo Global Management, Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, “Apollo”) makes no representation or warranty, expressed                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            Equity Strategy
                    While the S&P500 was powered again this year by Mag-7, the cqual weightedindex -SPW, is up a more modest 6%, having peaked in March., Likewise,SXSE has also peaked in March - top chart. Indeed, the historical spreadbetween the performance ofS&P500                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            USA: UMichigan Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Edge Down in Preliminary July Report
                    BOTTOM LINE: The University of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment declinedin the July preliminary report, below consensus expectations for a slight increase.                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            Summer Stalemates
                    A Surprise in France: We assessed market impacts after the French legislative electionsdelivered a hung Parliament, with the left coalition unexpectedly coming first, followed by the                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            China: weaker consumption looms over GDP recovery
                    The weak Q2 GDP (4.7% y/y) suggests the official target of 5% for 2024 is not a done deal. As H2 2023 constituted 53% of the annual GDP in 2023,                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            Emerging Market Focus
                    The economic growth slowdown in Q2 turned out to be more significant than expected, with a notable deceleration in retail sales and continued                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            USD hit by more “good data”
                    FX View: The USD’s recent weakening trend has continued over the past week. Fed Chair Powell was clear this week in his semi-annual testimony on monetary                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            Weekly Warm-up: What Does Falling Inflation Mean for Stocks?
                    What Does Falling Inflation Mean for Stocks? As we have discussed over the last several weeks, the market's focus internally has shifted from                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            China: Uncertain economic environment overshadows the party plenum
                    China’s GDP growth slowed down to 4.7% in Q2. Growth relies much onfixed asset investment in manufacturing and infrastructure while consumerconfidence remains low and the downturn in the housing market continues.                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
             
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                    