海外研报

Cheatsheet - G10 & EM Week Ahead: Half and half

US core CPI should, in part, comfort Fed officials but, in other, keep them squarely focused on labor and economic trends. US retail

US MARKET INTELLIGENCE:AFTERNOON BRIEFING

SPX +1.7%, NDX +2.5%,RTY +1.6%.WTl -200bps at $78.46, NatGas -114bps to $2.16, UKNatGas -82bps to 0.9594, Gold -26bps to$2,466, Silver -45bps to $27.85, 10Y @ 3.847%, andVIX @ 18.12.

Investor Sentiment: Risk-Love A binary call

Global Risk-Love resets to neutralGlobal Risk-Love, our contrarian sentiment indicator for equities, has plummeted from

Europe Non Research Other

Not that much to add to yesterday's piece really, enough to make things murky for markets going forward (recession riskiniddleEastUkraine incursion'US politics) that after the huge deleveraging episode post payrols daspite the swift

Total recall 2Q:24 – Core strength drives OEMs; Supplier outlooks disappointing

Pricing remains solid but production outlook down YoY2Q:24 showed a change of pace for the automotive industry. Global production is now

Risk-reward for equities to stay mixed through summer, but Japan not to underperform further

We remain concerned about the backdrop for stocks, there could be further bouts of weakness as we progress through summer. Activity is weakening,

European Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

Europe Non Research Other

Prely good session for EM tx wih ZAR emy decent demand for the curency mainly fromSyslamalic accounts but also HFs. As regular readers wll know, l have been trading USDZAR from the short side lately which hasworked well am l am further

Americas Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

IndonesiaPulse: Rupiah has had a reprieve, but downside risks remain

We have lowered our USDIDR forecast to 16150 in Q3 (from 16420 previously) and 16050 in Q4 (from 16360 previously) to reflect recent easing depreciatory