海外研报

Labor Market Trumps inflation Right Now (For BondYields)

US producer prices rose by a softer-than-expected 0.1% m/m in July, from 0.2% in June. The core measureremained unchanged, the tamest reading in four months. Notably, the index for final demand services fel0.2% m/m.

Yen Carry And AI Bubble: One And The Same Trade

The analysis of price complexity strongly suggests that the ‘yen carry trade’ and the AI bubble are one and the same trade, premised on three conditions:

Our forecast for BoJ's next hike frontloaded to January

We frontload our call for the next hike to Jan (from Apr) with arisk of an earlier move in Dec. Labor cost pass-through to

Australian Economic Insight

Australian Economic Outlook: revised forecasts Our broad outlook remains that real household disposable incomes will get a

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index rose 0.5% today. Indonesia and Korea markets outperformed,while China and Hong Kong markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Info

Americas Construction: Building Products Home Depot F2Q24 Read-Throughs

Consumer Pullback Weighs on Home Improvement Demand: Home Depot(covered by Kate McShane) reported F2Q US comps down 3.6% YOY, vs -2.0% in

BONDS ARE BACK BUT DON’T GET TOO EXCITED

The RBNZ has commenced its easing cycle today and massively revised downwards its projections for the official cash rate, in a dovish surprise for duration globally. The global easing

Option buying opportunities on off-cycle reporters

One of our preferred options strategies ahead of earnings is buying straddleson names where implied moves are inexpensive relative to their typical

USA: Core CPI Roughly in Line With Expectations; Estimating a 0.14% Increase in July Core PCE

BOTTOM LINE: July core CPI rose 0.17% month-over-month, roughly in line withexpectations. The composition was mixed, as large declines in the volatile used cars

The Deflation of Software

Generative AI has the potential to deflate the software industry. The proliferation of generative-AI-powered software development is widely expected to catalyze digital transformation