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        Powell Deftly Opens the Door for Rate Cuts, but Doesn't Appear Ready to Step Through It
                    Fed Chair Powell made a subtle shift in his stance on monetary policy today, speaking before the Economic Club ofWashington DC. He made it abundantly clear that he did not want to send a signal about any particular meeting coming                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月17日
                
            Click “here” to listen to the Europe Morning Call.
                    Transport Chartbook – thoughts on shipping S/D – Global trade growth remainedstrong in 2Q with air freight up +10% yoy and container +6%. This is driven by a                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月17日
                
            Week 1: 3% beat in early days
                    Big Banks delivered on 1Q results, all beating on EPS but not enough to lift stocks higher. Net interest income was guided flat to down, but trading and investment banking                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月18日
                
            Global Fixed Income Technical Update
                    The 5s/30s curve extends the breakout steepening to the 29.5bp Jan 78.6% retrace and 30bp Apr-Jun range measured move objective. Multi-year base                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月19日
                
            Americas Transportation: Eye on Freight: Intermodal Recovery Potential v.3
                    Bottom line: Post the disappointing JBHT earnings release, we thought it couldbe instructive to take a look at several factors that may be in various stages of                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月19日
                
            Argentina: Impressive disinflation, with side-effects
                    Argentina: Impressive disinflation with side-effectsArgentina inflation is dropping much faster than expected, from 25% in December (13%                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月19日
                
            ChinaPulse: Q2’s 4.7%yoy growth shows the need for government to step up policy support
                    growth rate in the same period implied a -0.7%yoy GDP deflator for Q2. The growth deceleration was largely due to weakened support from service industry,                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月19日
                
            IndiaPulse: Towards more inclusive growth
                    We forecast USDINR at 82.80 and IGB 10-year bond yields at 6.80% by the end of the fiscal year, together with a shallow RBI rate cut cycle of 50bps starting 1Q2025 (calendar year).                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月19日
                
            Americas Energy: Oil: Majors & Refiners: Refreshing Select Estimates (PSX, CVI)
                    We update forecasts for Phillips 66 (PSX) and CVR Energy (CVI) to reflect mark tomarket commodity prices, refining crack spreads for the quarter and slightly revised                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月20日
                
            Despite the Heat, the Animal Spirits are Cooling Off
                    Stormy Spirits Ahead?Our Animal Spirits Index (ASI) fell in June to 0.53 from 0.88 in May but has remained positive in all six months of 2024 (chart). Previous reports detail the index's methodology, but on a basic level, an                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月22日
                
             
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                    