海外研报

Assessing France’s Indecisive Election

Everything must change, so that everything can stay the same. Anatole used this aphorism from the great novel of Italian reunification, The Leopard, to

Another month of soft retail spending

Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit cards, was down 0.5% year-over-year (y/y) in June. Card spending per HH was

The economic consequences of a second Trump presidency for emerging markets

Macro focus: With market-implied probabilities of a second Trump term rising, we take a first look at the potential reverberations for EMs. We view tariff policy as