海外研报

We Forecast Core PCE at 0.16% After PPI

We now forecast core PCE inflation for June at 0.16% vs. 0.08%M in May. Headline is forecasted at 0.07% vs. -0.01%M the month prior. We expect the Y/Y

DeskTalk - Macro whispers of Trump 2.0 trades

US Treasuries are opening lower after a holiday in Tokyo. 2s10s curve is bull steepening though the move is likelyto be contained ahead of Fed Chair Powell's interview today. That said, our rates strategists think momentum, weak

DB CoTD: The greatest rotation...

Yesterday was a fascinating day for US equities. 396 of the S&P 500 were up on the day, the equal weighted index rose +1.17%, and the Russell 2000 small cap index

Deconstructing the recent rally – and what’s next

Greater confidence in rate cuts? Check. Now: EPS in focusFollowing last week’s inflation data, small caps saw the biggest four-day rally since

Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts

Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,

Nomura Quant Insights

Risk of a downside attack on the Nikkei 225 by systematic investorsSemiconductor stocks worldwide took a beating yesterday. It looks as though worries over

Key levels to watch: 4% rates & 50 on PMI

Economics: A goldilocks economyLast week, retail sales and industrial production surprised to the upside, dispelling fears

Buy France

The sharp underperformance of the French stock market on its recent political events is irrational, given the CAC 40’s limited exposure to French domestic economics and politics.

DB CoTD: It's patently obvious...

A reminder that we publish a weekly AI newsletter looking at all the rapidly evolving news flow in the field. This week’s edition is just out here and looks at how OpenAI

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index rose 1.3% today. Hong Kong and Taiwan markets outperformed,while India and Singapore markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Info