海外研报

European Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

China Online Travel Sector

China online travel sector to grow 15-18% in the next 2 years, driven by sharp outbound growth amidst slower domestic growth

Gold’s unwavering bull market

Global commodities: Gold is breaking out to new all-time highs and continues to surprise even our above-consensus forecasts, both in its upward intensity as well

Portfolio Hedging Toolkit (Jul-2024) Buy Semis ETF (SMH) puts

Semis stocks have rallied significantly since the start of 2023 (SMH +154%),mainly driven by AI-related optimism. Our semis analyst Toshiya Hari believes

JUNE 2024 PRELIMINARY HEDGE FUND PERFORMANCE UPDATE

▪ Hedge funds were up on average 0.46% in June underperforming the MSCI World which was up 2.07%.▪ YTD hedge funds are up 5.81%, underperforming MSCI world which is up 12.04%.

Global Asset Allocation Views

The data reaffirm our base case view of moderating growth and cooling inflation.• This environment supports a risk-on tilt in portfolios, with overweights to equity and credit.

China: Uncertain economic environment overshadows the party plenum

China’s GDP growth slowed down to 4.7% in Q2. Growth relies much onfixed asset investment in manufacturing and infrastructure while consumerconfidence remains low and the downturn in the housing market continues.

USA: UMichigan Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Edge Down in Preliminary July Report

BOTTOM LINE: The University of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment declinedin the July preliminary report, below consensus expectations for a slight increase.

Framing The Upside Path to 2025 Operating Income

In this report, we preview AMZN’s upcoming Q2’24 operatingresults and increase our above-Street 2025 GAAP Operating Income

Strengthening its Position as Industry Leader

TSM is the world’s leading semiconductor foundry company. The company provides wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production and design services.