海外研报

Interest Rates Trade Idea-Close: long TIPS 5Y breakevens

On 20 June, we recommended being long TIPS 5Y breakevens (BEs), as theylooked cheap to oil prices and nominal Treasury yield. At around 2.21% on

Coal Tracker: Natural gas-driven coal rally has overshot fundamentals

In the past three weeks, the physical API2 price rallied to 123 USD/t, 21% upfrom its July 2024 low, while the Newcastle coal price rallied by 9% to 145

Eye on Freight: Thinking Through A Potential Class 1 Rail Strike in Canada

Bottom line: As soon as August 22nd (00:01), the Canadian class 1 rail union laborforce could go on strike given the lack of a labor deal amid ongoing union labor

Global Markets Daily: China Oil Demand: A Tale of Micro and Macro Softness (Grigsby/Struyven)

We dig deeper into the recent weakness in China oil demand and its implicationsfor the Chinese economy and oil prices by analyzing China micro and macro

Global: GS Economic Indicators Update: European CAIs Signal UK Outperformance

Please find an update of our proprietary global economic indicators below. The databehind these exhibits can be downloaded here.

Global Equity Monitor

This monitor uses five charts from the Guide to the Markets to analyse the state of the global equity market and assess where opportunities, and risks, may lie.

Themes and implications from the Global Equity Investors Quarterly

Before the setback in markets over the last week, higher valuations and a narrow market in the U.S. had made our investors more cautious on the

Riksbank — 25bp Cut and Dovish Guidance; We Now See 3 More Cuts in 2024

BOTTOM LINE: The Riksbank’s Executive Board cut the policy rate by 25bp to 3.5%today, in line with our and consensus expectations. The Executive Board signalled

The Euro’s powering a balance of payments boom

My colleague Fabien Bossy sent me the chart (below) of the Eurozone current account this morning. Europe’s current account surplus reached EUR 51bn in June, EUR 370bn (2.5% GDP) in