海外研报

Fed to start with 50bp cuts in rapidly weakening labor market

CITI'S TAKEFor some time we have highlighted risks that a gradual weakening in thelabor market would at some point turn more rapid, This is much moreevident in July employment data, with the unemployment rate rising to4.3% alongside a more notable

Daily and weekly indicators for the US economy

Torsten Slok joined Apollo in August 2020 as Chief Economist and he leads Apollo's

Earnings Tracker: Mixed season, but stock misses heavily penalised

Almost 60% of the companies we expect to include in ourearnings tracker have reported. Overall, we expect to include

Global Credit Trader The growth scare comes for credit too

An earlier than expected growth scaren A series of weaker than expected data releases, including the July employment

Global Economics Wrap-Up: August 2, 2024

Former US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs are likely to accelerateshifts in the allocation of global trade:o We use product-level variation in tariff rates and trade patterns to estimate

Global FX Trader Running Late?

USD: Far enough; go short EUR/USD. Our economists think the Julyemployment report likely overstates the rate at which the labor market isloosening,

GS TWIG Notes: This Week in Global Research - August 2, 2024

Central bank round-up: Japan hikes, the UK cuts, and the US holds steady (for now)n The BoJ raised rates by 25bp and announced plans to curb QE programs as it

1QFY25 earnings improved this week with beats ahead of misses

Performance: NIFTY closed flat w/w. Energy, Pharmaled (up 1-3%), while Property, IT lagged (down 3-4%).

A Question of Pace

With the cutting cycle set to start in September as expected, the pace of further cuts is now the debate. Markets are pricing more

WBD & PARA Credit: Another 'Spin' on Our Cautious Views

Sizable spread moves since mid-July, first idiosyncratic and then more market-driven, warrant a refresh of our views and trades.