海外研报

European Week Ahead: August 5 - August 11

08:15 Spanish PMI - Composite, Jul F (consensus 54.7, last 55.8)08:15 Spanish PMI - Services, Jul F (consensus 55.5, last 56.8)

Big GBP unwind in broad risk-off

At present, the G10 FX PIX 2.0 signals that the AUD, NZD and NOK areoversold while the CHF and JPY are overbought. We have temporarily

The Bear Traps Report With Larry McDonald

“The beast inside the market now has the Fed in its grip. The serpent will demand FAR more

US July jobs report: Broad-based weakening risks steeper cuts

• A sizable deceleration in payrolls and the fourth consecutive increase in the unemployment rate (which triggered the Sahm Rule) point

PANIC STATIONS!

1. Global recession risk, with CBs (perceived to be) behind the curve2. The unwind of the Yen carry trade (did BoJ hawkishness mark the top of

'IRAN-ISRAEL': AIRSTRIKES DON’T ALWAYS MEAN OIL SHOCKS

With Brent oil futures hovering near seven-month lows as recession fears vie with rising Iran-Israel-Hezbollah tensions, a top question for investors is: Are markets overly complacent about the

Indonesia: Steady growth beat, pockets of vulnerability

• The Indonesian economy expanded 5.05% yoy in 2Q24, similar to quarter

Macro Insights Weekly Slowdown cometh?

Markets are becoming concerned that a cyclical slowdown could be around the

FX: DEER recommendations (Aug 2024)

The DEER Strategy recommends longpositions in JPY, CAD, and AUD, and

Americas Transportation: Valuation Tracker: Transports Outperform in July

Transportation stocks were stronger relative to the S&P in July with 15companies within our coverage outperforming the S&P 500 (the index up