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GS TWIG Notes: This Week in Global Research - August 9, 2024
Labor data, recession risk, the Fed, and the path aheadn In the US, David Mericle raised our 12-month recession odds to 25% (from 10%)
海外研报
2024年08月10日
Reflecting On 2Q24 Earnings Amid An Uncertain Macro... Investor sentiment; market color
Correlations and volatility spiked during a dizzying week of sentiment whippingaround on recession risks (still low and still-data dependent, as per the latest from
海外研报
2024年08月10日
Market Intelligence: US Morning Update
Stocks in Asia closed higher Friday, ending a relatively volatile week on a calm note.South Korea and Taiwan outperformed, with tech stocks advancing on the back of
海外研报
2024年08月10日
Mexico: Firm Industrial Production in June Driven by Construction and Utilities; Weak Manufacturing
Bottom Line: Industrial production expanded 0.4% mom sa in June, slightly aboveconsensus for a milder expansion. The IP increase in June was solely driven by
海外研报
2024年08月10日
THE EUROZONE ECONOMIC MONITOR
Swiss industry likely had another tough quarter in Q2 and services turnover data to May disappoint.
海外研报
2024年08月10日
Russia: Inflation rises to 9.1% due to utility increases as expected
Bottom Line: Rosstat published its estimate for July inflation and in line withconsensus and our estimates it was reported at 9.1% yoy. While this was a sharp
海外研报
2024年08月10日
Brazil: Consumers help lift 2024 growth estimate, but 2025 outlook has weakened
Recent industrial production and retail sales data point to strong consumptionfueled growth in 2Q24, with a carryover effect leading us to upgrade our 3Q24
海外研报
2024年08月10日
Economics Focus:Summer revision course
This summer, we propose a series of short papers on some key macro topics to help you revise your fundamentals so you can be perfectly
海外研报
2024年08月10日
TAIEX -1% despite a 3% rebound in TSMC, amid declines across non-defensive
Performance: MSCI/All Taiwan +0.6%/-0.9% this week,outperforming MXAPJ by +1.5% (in US$), with gains in
海外研报
2024年08月10日
US Economic Perspectives CPI preview comment
We continue to expect a 25 bp rate cut in September and not 50 bp. We view the current debate amongst the FOMC as whether they want to move from long signaling a
海外研报
2024年08月10日
