海外研报

Third Plenum points to more support

China concluded its Third Plenum meeting for long-term economic plans, and thecommunique possibly signaled more stimulus to support the economy, while

Americas Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

The Flow Show 100% + 75% = peak 68%

Scores on the Doors: crypto 36.2%, gold 17.6%, oil 14.6%, stocks 13.8%, commodities 7.4%, HY bonds 4.5%, cash 2.9%, US dollar 2.8%, IG bonds 1.3%, govt bonds -3.0% YTD.

Commodity Tracker: mixed signals

Mobility indicators are showing strong seasonal demand. Jet fuel remains a bright spot for oil demand. However, China’s oil demand data is yet to improve. Imports fell 2.3% in the first half of this year, and refinery run rates remain low.

Global Economics Wrap-Up: July 19, 2024

The case for Fed rate cuts strengthens as elections loom: o US economic data softened further in June: § Trimmed-mean PCE inflation has returned to 2% on a 3-month

US Weekly Kickstart

Small-caps just posted the most powerful weekly return vs. large-caps on record. Against a backdrop of extreme equity market concentration, four

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary

United States: A String of Upside Surprises, but Growth is Slowing in the U.S.• Retail sales, housing starts and industrial production all surprised to the upside this week. Yet, an

Machine Learning Based Trade Recommendations

The CARV model continues the short vol bias in Fixed Income and Credit,while shifting to a long vol bias for most Commodities, led by WTl andprecious metals. In Equities, NlFTY had

Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Labour at Dawn

The incoming Labour government will inherit a UK economy that, by many measures, has underperformed sharply. Since 2010, the UK has grown ~10% less

The US consumer-should we be worried?

Consumer is moderating, not pulling back, The US consumer is and has been theengine behind economic growth. As rates stay higher for longer, the strength of theUS consumer is coming into