海外研报

Month-In-Review: Where Next For BondYields And The Dollar?

The dollar is a buy over the nextsix to 12 months, but a sell over athree-year horizon.The yen has all the catalystsrequired to rally.

The storm before the calm?

sectors had wow down moves of less than -2%. Moreover,Real Estate actually finished the week in positive territory.

A slowing, not a slump: what we're watching

We expect a moderate slowdown, and the Fed cutting 25bps in September. But the burden of proof is on the soft landing. Last

Japan Equities and the Yen

Incoming economic data may drive a further unwinding of JPY carry trades/FXhedged activity from overseas equity investors. We retain a bullish JPY skew.

The Global 360 Our views around the world

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of

Implied Thoughts Four key takeaways from the latest sell-off

The short-term rates market is still fully pricing in a recession (and risks position unwinds if data doesn’t comply).

Yen Carry And AI Bubble: One And The Same Trade

The analysis of price complexity strongly suggests that the ‘yen carry trade’ and the AI bubble are one and the same trade, premised on three conditions:

Signals from the Credit Market for US Growth Risks

We think signals from the corporate credit market are fully consistent with a soft landing.