海外研报

Did the market overshoot?

• The underlying data in Friday’s employment report was

Weekly Warm-up: Defensive Leadership Fully Emerges as Growth Concerns Increase

Macro Risks Rise... While the macro data suggest the consumer is slowing but ok, the jobs data on Friday challenged the soft-landing view for some

Market Intelligence: US Morning Update

Stocks in Asia traded sharply lower Monday as concerns about a soft landing in theUS after weaker than expected US payrolls from Friday (see Aug 2 note “USA:

US MARKET INTELLIGENCE:AFTERNOON BRIEFING

US: Stocks closed sharply lower but off their lowest levels. Pre-market, the global selloff startedwith Japan as the NKY fell by 12.4%. The SPX hit a session low of -4.6%, with the ViX spiking to65, up 178% from Friday's close of 23. This was driven by a

De-grossing, Positioning Declines, and Rotations...Meaningful in July, But Could be Nearly Over

HF performance / alpha drawdown and de-grossing…are we done yet? July was the first month for negative Eq L/S alpha this year and de-grossing reached fairly extended levels for Eq L/S and Multi-Strats in

10y JGB auction preview: A highly volatile climate

POTENTIAL POSITIVES・ BOJ's 31 July announcement has reduced uncertainty about JGB purchase taperingThe BOJ's "detailed plan" for tapering back its JGB absorption was basically in line with the

What worsening US jobs data and reports of Fed rate cut mean for Japanese stocks

US jobs data deterioration reverberates across marketsThe July US employment data showed both non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate

Is this what data-point dependence looks like?

The poor NFP report and 0.2ppt uptick in unemployment rate brought 10Y UST yields to December 2023 lows (3.8%) and ESTR 1YF1Y to 2.08%. Growth factor

Hong Kong: PMI rose in July

The S&P Global Hong Kong PMI (which covers the manufacturing, construction,wholesale, retail and services sectors) rose to 49.5 in July from 48.2 in June. Among

Healthcare Pulse: Oh August... Investor sentiment

Considerations for the XLV @ 10k Feet. Macronarratives got turned on their head yet again with the