海外研报

Beyond the Ballot: Existing in the Context…

President Biden’s decision not to seek reelection and the coalescing around Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee have upended the US election campaign.

The Bear Traps Report With Larry McDonald

“The beast inside the market now has the Fed in its grip. The serpent will demand FAR more

Food for Thought: Sector Selection for Rate Reduction

Over 13 rate cutting cycles stretching back to the 1980s,Healthcare and Staples outperformed most consistently over

CHF: more reversal in sight?

Asia overnight Investors are making a cautious start to the week. While investor sentiment continues to gradually recover following last week’s drubbing, key US retail sales

Cross Asset StrategyAfter the dust has settled

With volatility ealming down, investors are tempied by various degrees to re-enler variousmomentum and carry trades,. In the sbsence ofa calalyst, vols willlikely go lower and risk

Daily and weekly indicators for the US economy

What are daily and weekly indicators telling us about the US economy?Daily data:

Intraday FX View

What is going on? The first important data print ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls came weak with US ISM Manufacturing coming below expectations of 47.5 at 47.2 helping to spur a big equity selloff and EUR USD couldn’t even break

GD--JUST ANOTHER RECESSION HEADFAKE?

A running joke in my Chart stories is that I keep being overlooked for the Nobel prize ineconomics. Now – even more outrageous – I discover that some academics took my