海外研报

US rates forecast update

The resulting baseline forecast has the 10y UST yield at 4.25% at year-end, withyields across the curve modestly above forwards.The forecastgenerally sees front.end spreads (2s5s) a bit flatter than forwards, reflecting a more gradual pace of

July employment preview: Upside and downside risks aplenty

We estimate that nonfarm payroll employment increased 175k in July, slower than the206k increase in June. We think that private nonfarm payrolls will register a 150k gain, above

TAIEX -1% despite a 3% rebound in TSMC, amid declines across non-defensive

Performance: MSCI/All Taiwan +0.6%/-0.9% this week,outperforming MXAPJ by +1.5% (in US$), with gains in

G7 and BIC outlook

Although the labor market has cooled substantially, there is not enough evidence of recession in the near-term.