海外研报

FX Viewpoint USD: Cool data, hot politics

Key takeaways• Cooling US data and Fed-speak has brought forward cut pricing and weighed on the USD. We expect more depreciation in H2.

SMCI: GM Headwinds Overshadow Better Revenue Guide

With June-Q GM miss and declining 430bps Q/Q, as well as guiding Sep-Q GM still at a low levelof 12%+, it raises the question of how fast GM ticks up, despite mgmt. guiding for 14% GM exit

Abrupt Cut To Underweight

Aggregateequitypositioningplungedthis week, falling from a mid-Julypeakat the top ofthe historical range (z score 1.00, 97th percentile) to belowaverage orunderweight (z score -0,26, 31st percentile). This marked one ofthe steepest declines in recent

Global Markets Daily: Credit Fund Flows: A Look Back and Forward (Shumway)

Three themes emerged from the trajectory of fixed income fund flows throughthe Fed’s recent hiking cycle. The first is a preference for quality, driven by