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        Continue to Tread Cautiously
                    We lower our global demand growth forecast from 1.2 to 1.1 mb/d, driven principally by China where lower economic growth, EVs and LNG trucking weigh                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            Precious Metals Trading Desk View
                    This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            US Treasury futures: calendar rolls outlook, September-December 2024
                    RecommendationsTU – Mildly bearish. Positioning is bearish due to record-high asset manager net positioning in the sector. TU roll will likely be sensitive to risk events and front-end moves, including a                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            The Euro’s powering a balance of payments boom
                     My colleague Fabien Bossy sent me the chart (below) of the Eurozone current account this morning. Europe’s current account surplus reached EUR 51bn in June, EUR 370bn (2.5% GDP) in                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            Tariffs and the quest for new markets to drive ODI
                    China’s latest balance of payments (BOP) data shows that its net direct investmentoutflows (outward minus inward FDI) have picked up very quickly to a historical high.                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            Budget - Fiscal prudence through reduced capex
                    The first budget of the newly elected government has chosen to maintain a conservative fiscal approach, despite President-elect Prabowo Subianto suggesting a departure from                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            Stronger Asian currencies heading into Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech
                    Asian FX continued to strengthen against the Dollar this week ahead Powell’s keynote speech in the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday evening. This week                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            Taiwan: Broad Declines in IP and Retail Sales in July
                    Taiwan’s industrial production (IP) fell 3.3% mom sa in July, with the pace of declineaccelerating from -0.6% the previous month. The outcome was in line with                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            The ECB's throuple... or trouble?
                    The accounts of the July ECB meeting noted that September “was widely seen as a good time to re-evaluate” the level of monetary policy restriction. But caution remains the key word. In fact,                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            Summer data-only update
                    Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures,                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年08月24日
                
            
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    