海外研报

SALES COMMENTARY ONLY (NOT A PRODUCT OF RESEARCH) FOR INSTITUTIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY

Are investors navigating by the stars under clear skies? This year’s equity market trading has largely been characterized by much fortitude as many have

Navigating a Noisy Election

Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &

The White House and the Dollar

Policies proposed by the Republican presidential campaign would likely boost USD. A potential Republican administration

Time to Enter UST Steepeners

After having adopted a neutral stance on the US yield curve for much of the past year, we believe now is the time to enter US

Taking stock, looking ahead

We expect a muted recovery in European and US steel prices into YE, underpinned by a seasonal pick-up in activity and, in

What's Priced In? Boom or Bust?

We analyze where cross-asset valuations are after the sell-off and rebound. While a shallow cutting cycle supports risk, we

Venture Vision: Back to Neverland?

On the cusp of US rate cuts, according to our Economists, anticipation is high that venture/growth markets will step in to

“Vast majority” of FOMC looking for September cut

A number of data releases will be on the docket, highlighted by PCE inflation for July. Also on tap are personal income & spending, Q224 GDP

THE PERKINS RULE REVISITED

I’ve had a lot of questions about the Perkins rule, the idea that it is a CONTRACTION INEMPLOYMENT that signals recession, not a gradual drift higher in the jobless rate (the

Cycle Playbook – Preparing for a Peak

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of