海外研报

Despite Some Near Term Noise, the Long Term Signal for Azure & AI Is Clear

As a reminder, our FQ4 (Jun) Microsoft partner survey work (link here) softened across most metrics, which we interpreted to mean that this quarter would have less

Samsung, Dc Capex, AMD, ANET, DV, FRSH, FVRR, INFA, MBLY, MSFT, PEGA, PINS, QRVO,sWKS

Reuters today reportes that the US government's planned trade restrictions on semiconductor manufacturingequipment will exclude Japan, the Netherlands & South Korea, focusing instead on cxports from lsracl, TaiwanSingapore and Malaysia.

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): First Take on F4Q24 results

We reiterate our Buy rating and $515 PT despite MSFT indicated down 6% afterhours. MSFT reported soft beat magnitudes across revenue (($64.72bn vs

Significant CapEx ramp supported by strong early demand signals – F4Q24 Results

We reiterate our Buy rating and $515 PT following Microsoft’sF4Q24 results. The stock reversed some of its negative after-hours

FOMC – Heavy thumb on September scale

EventThere was very little expectation of a monetary policy move, and today’s FOMC justified this expectation. As the press conference went on, Fed Chair Powell gave

US Macro Strategy: July FOMC Preview Rate cuts priced-in, now what?

Evolving rate cut expectations: At the start of the year, there were a slew of cuts expected. However, a combination of higher Q1 inflation and hawkish Fedspeak pushed pricing to less than 2 cuts for all of

USD and the Fed: how soon is now?

Asia overnightDespite a weak lead from US technology stocks, investor sentiment remained firm in Asia. China’s soft PMI data is encouraging investors to think more help for the

BANK OF ENGLAND TAKES A SMALL LEAP OF FAITH

The MPC has delivered a 25bp reduction that takes Bank Rate to 5% in what is essentially an “insurance” cut.As mentioned in the minutes, “it is now appropriate to reduce slightly the degree of policy restrictiveness" while

Global Macro Thoughts “Normal service will now resume”

Where noted in the source notes, the views expressed within this report are taken from previously published research. For further detail, including important

A hike, a hold and a cut

Central banks are in sharp focus this week. The Fed (Wed) has little upside to do anythingmore than hint that a September cut is on track. For the BoJ (Wed), we maintain our out-ofconsensus call for a 25bp