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GEMs Equity Wrap-up July 2024
In July 2024, EM equities underperformed all other major regional indices, though allwere in positive territory, india contributed most positively, distantly followed by SouthAfrica, but it was majory offset by the negative performance of Taiwan
海外研报
2024年08月12日
Investor Sentiment: Risk-Love A binary call
Global Risk-Love resets to neutralGlobal Risk-Love, our contrarian sentiment indicator for equities, has plummeted from
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2024年08月14日
Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Derivative Thinking
All attention this week will be on Jackson Hole, where the conference has been aptly titled “Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy.” We
海外研报
2024年08月19日
FX Viewpoint USD: Cool data, hot politics
Key takeaways• Cooling US data and Fed-speak has brought forward cut pricing and weighed on the USD. We expect more depreciation in H2.
海外研报
2024年07月31日
On Our Minds - Taiwan Still thriving in the AI boom
Taiwan’s economy has remained resilient thanks to the AI boom. 2Q GDP growth was stagnant – but this followed strong expansion in recent quarters. The AI boom has
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2024年08月02日
Global Economics Weekly A change in narrative
As central bankers gather in Jackson Hole next week, thenarrative for policy easing is building. Inflation is in retreat,
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2024年08月19日
Commodities Technical Advantage Oil’s Bermuda triangle is nearing an end
View: Oil’s Bermuda triangle is nearing an endOil prices have been trading in a narrowing range, or a triangle pattern, for over a year
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2024年07月30日
BoJ: why this time is different
We calculate z-scores (using 1990-2019 as our sample) for four key measures ofunderlying inflation: (1) Shunto (wages), (2) core-core CPl adjusted for changes inconsumption taxes, and (3-4) price expectations series from surveys that haveproved to
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Sharp Pullback But Not There Yet
Equitypositioningisdown butnotlow, Even afterthe sharp drop this weekoverall equitypositioning is still well above average. it is also slightlyabovelevels implied byQ2 earnings growth which looks to be tracking just above10%so farthisseason, leavingroom
海外研报
2024年07月30日
US rates forecast update
The resulting baseline forecast has the 10y UST yield at 4.25% at year-end, withyields across the curve modestly above forwards.The forecastgenerally sees front.end spreads (2s5s) a bit flatter than forwards, reflecting a more gradual pace of
海外研报
2024年07月30日
