海外研报

Yen facing cross-currents

The monetary policy convergence story is real - DB changed its Fed call to 3 cuts(previously 1) this year after the CPl print. While the Fed repricing over the comingyearortwo hasn't been huge (eg, 1y1yis still comfortably above thelows

GBP: mind the black hole

The GBP rally – which has come to define the G10 FX market so far this year –has lost momentum of late amidst returning risk aversion. The GBP has been

SALES COMMENTARY ONLY (NOT A PRODUCT OF RESEARCH)

While earnings are off to a strong start – 78% beating an already high “hurdle” and 2Q24 EPS estimates revised higher to +10.2% – mega cap tech results

Global equities lost 0.9%; Japan underperformed

Macro data this weekUS: The JOLTS job openings report on Tuesday, the ISMmanufacturing index on Thursday, and the employment

China’s Third Plenum provides little support to metals

Last week’s key Communist Party meeting failed to lay out morepolicies to prop up demand for metals and we expect copper and

FX OutlookYen-maggedon

De-risking of crowded positions is different from amacro shock. There is not much evidence of the latterin recent strong dataflow, and recession models contin-ue to hover in benign territory.

The Pulse of the Market Monitoring Earnings, The Rotation Trade, and The Pullback

In Pulse, we tackle hot topics and updates on our high frequency indicators. The three big things you need to know: First, earnings season has been fine so far, and what we’ve read has

European Contextual Diary The Week Ahead

Anheuser-Busch InBev (Buy, PT €72) to report H1 2024 Results on 1 AugustWe forecast +2.9% Q2 organic revenue (-0.6% volume and +3.5% price/mix) vs Visible

US Daily: Some Encouraging News on Shelter Inflation (Walker)

The latest release of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) All Tenant RegressedRent (ATR) Index showed -1.1% annualized rent growth for Q2. Because the ATR

US Treasury August QRA preview

We expect the Treasury to keep coupon auction sizes stable at the August quarterly refunding announcement (QRA) on 31 July. The refunding coupon sizes