海外研报

Europe Non Research Other

Not that much to add to yesterday's piece really, enough to make things murky for markets going forward (recession riskiniddleEastUkraine incursion'US politics) that after the huge deleveraging episode post payrols daspite the swift

US MARKET INTELLIGENCE:AFTERNOON BRIEFING

SPX +1.7%, NDX +2.5%,RTY +1.6%.WTl -200bps at $78.46, NatGas -114bps to $2.16, UKNatGas -82bps to 0.9594, Gold -26bps to$2,466, Silver -45bps to $27.85, 10Y @ 3.847%, andVIX @ 18.12.

The Weekly Worldview: Rising Central Bank Action

If life were a Greek tragedy, we would call it foreshadowing. In reality, it was an unfortunate coincidence. The BoJ’s website temporarily went down when the policy

Weekly Warm-up: Valuations Matter and Defensive Quality Is Still the Best Option

Markets are looking for better growth or more policy support to get excited again. We don't see confirming evidence in either

Economic Insights

Core CPI inflation likely remained weak in July. We expect an increase of just 0.077% m-o-m, similar to the June reading of 0.065% .

UBS House View Monthly Extended August 2024 - intra-month update

The original report, published on 18 July 2024, is being republished to remove our Asset Class downside scenarios, as

Oil Tracker: Positioning: Only Up From Here

The Brent crude price rebounded by 6% from a week ago as broader macro marketscontinued to recover, as solid US activity data shifted energy investors’ focus from

poast Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc

Stocks struggled for direction yesterday as markets looked ahead to a packed data calendar for the rest of the week. The S&P500 closed flat, the NASDAQ rose 0.21% and the EuroStoxx 50

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST experienced a steep down move after break below multi-month ascending trend line and recently revisited May 2023 low of

Multi-Asset Strategy Daily

The first hurdle for UK markets – the labour market report – came in this morning. Wage data were in line, with weekly earnings excl. bonus rising 5.4% on a 3M/YoY basis. This seems like good news, as wages are