海外研报

This is Non-Independent Research

The June US CPI report provided another piece of evidence that the disinflation theme has resumed in the US and provided another boost to the Fed’s doves. Headline fell 0.1%MoM, driven by softer core CPI number

Thailand: structurally weaker balance of payments dynamics

The THB has been among the APAC region’s weakest currencies in the year-to-dateand this underperformance is set to continue.

Interest Rates Daily

June CPI surprised to the downside, solidly below expectations for both headline and core measures. Headline fell -0.1% MoM (consensus +0.1%), slightly down

European Contextual Diary The Week Ahead

Danske Bank (Buy, PT DKr244) to report Q2 2024 Results on 19 JulFollowing the recent positive profit warn by Danske, we expect a small reversal in credit

US Weekly Kickstart

Prediction market odds have shifted sharply in favor of a Trump re-election this November and now stand at roughly 60% compared with 40%-50%

USD: when good news is bad news

The USD has been able to hold up steady overnight, having already recouped most of the ground initially lost due to the US CPI miss yesterday. Despite being among

Rising Demand for Government Bond Funds

Net flows into global equity funds were moderately positive in the week endingJuly 10, though the underlying regional composition was more mixed (+$10bn vs

EM Equities and US tariff risks: The usual suspects

Company revenue exposures may understate sensitivity...Based on theannual CY2023 revenue breakdown of about 1400 MSCI EM companies, we

Global Economics Wrap-Up: July 12, 2024

Consumer sentiment appears more sensitive to inflation in DMs (whereinflation is rarer) than in EMs, and the effect tends to persist for two yearsafter a surge ends.

Summer Break

n GBP: Stay long vs USD. The tactical backdrop looks increasingly friendly for riskand negative for the Dollar with further signs of a benign slowdown in US