海外研报
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Assessing the risks around our 2025 S&P 500 EPS estimates after a strong 2Q 2024 earnings season
The macro backdrop has distracted many investors from fully appreciating the strength of the 2Q earnings season. 56% of S&P 500 firms beat
海外研报
2024年08月19日
The US Fiscal OutlookIs Unsightly,But A Debt Crisis Is Not Inevitable
Executive SummaryInvestors have observed that pandemic spending materially worsened the USfiscal outlook and are asking our US strategists about it in nearly every meeting
海外研报
2024年08月20日
US Labor Market: Cracks Beneath The Surface
The US unemployment rate has clocked in below 4.5% for 33 consecutive months. However, this historicallylow rate camouflages nascent cracks in the US labor market.
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Q2 preview: bumpier path, same compelling destination
Blackwell transition could mute upside near-termMaintain Buy, top sector pick ahead of NVDA FQ2 (Jul) results due 28-Aug. Media reports
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Regime Indicator weakened, Recovery in question
Regime Indicator slips. Downturn next?Our US Regime Indicator declined in July for the first time since December 2023,
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Trading Catalysts Eyes on Jackson Hole, minds on NVDA
Economics: Slow and steadyThe message from last week’s data was clear: inflation is soft enough for the Fed to
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Tail wags dog as rate hike expectations fade despite hawkish rate increase
The BoJ increased its policy rate to 0.25% at the July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting when the market was not expecting it and also emphasized its intention to
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Data pushes back against 50bp September cut
A fed-focused week lies ahead with the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in the spotlight, along with the minutes from the July FOMC
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Confidence Game-Global Daily
As we approach the Jackson Hole Symposium later this week the message from Fed speakers, broadly, has been that they are gaining confidence that the economy is reaching the point where
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Market expectations of the Fed's labormarket reaction
Today's chart explores how these changes as well as other dynamics over recentyears may have affected market expectations of the FOMC's reaction to the labormarket, drawing onaspecialquestiontheNYFed periodicallyincludesin
海外研报
2024年08月20日
