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Global Macro Insight
Data releases over the past month have underscored our expectation that the FOMC will start to reduce policy restriction from September (-25bp).
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2024年08月22日
July FOMC minutes highlightedlabor market risks
The minutes to the July 30-31 FOMC meeting (which occurred just before therelease ofthe weak Julylaborreport)skewed dovish and showeda committee morefocused on labor market risks than the possibility of a renewed jump in inflationeven if
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2024年08月22日
Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts
Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,
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2024年08月22日
Our Top Stock Picks - North America Research
A Summer of Uncertainty. This summer has been characterized by macro uncertainty with data surprising to both the downside and upside. The market has
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2024年08月22日
On the border, Nietzsche--Global Daily
Market comments“Cruisin' down the center of a two-way street; Wonderin' who is really in the driver's seat
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2024年08月22日
Summer revision courses: Monetary Framework
Like every summer, we are publishing a series of short papers on the ECB’s tools to help you revise during the summer so you can be
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2024年08月22日
Weekly Options Watch What’s priced in for Jackson Hole?
Ahead of the Aug 22-24 Jackson Hole symposium, option prices on US bankstocks and most ETFs are low relative to history, while investors are expecting
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2024年08月22日
MINUTES REVEAL LOST CONFIDENCE, BENCHMARK PAYROLL REVISION UNDERSCORES THE POINT
The FOMC is a lot less sure about whether policy is in the right spot than it was six weeks ago. Then, we read howmonetary policy was “well positioned” to handle whatever came next. No such phrasing in July, just handwringing
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2024年08月23日
FED CUTS ≠ WEAKER DOLLAR
The dollar has weakened significantly over the past few months and is edging towards the lows seen in January, when rates markets bet big on a Fed pivot. The commencement of global
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2024年08月23日
Four in a rowJackson Hole Preview August 2024
On Friday, August 23, Fed Chair Powell is scheduled to talk about the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole symposium. Less than four weeks before the next FOMC meeting, on September 17-
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2024年08月23日
