海外研报
筛选
THE PERKINS RULE REVISITED
I’ve had a lot of questions about the Perkins rule, the idea that it is a CONTRACTION INEMPLOYMENT that signals recession, not a gradual drift higher in the jobless rate (the
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Cycle Playbook – Preparing for a Peak
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Five Stocks in Focus: CCJ, CLMT, CNQ, VLO and COP
In this brief note, we highlight five stocks that are top of mind for investors as weposition for the day ahead. We highlight (1) improved sentiment on Cameco on the
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Americas Transportation: Railroads: Weekly Rail Carload Snapshot — Week 34
Total traffic results for US Class I rails under coverage imply carload growth nat +9.4% YoY in week 34, an acceleration versus +6.9% YoY in week 33.
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Asia-Pacific Inflation Monitor: Uptick in July
This publication summarizes regional and economy-specific inflation data across nthe Asia-Pacific economies we cover. The latest data points are for July 2024 in
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Food for Thought: Potential Catalysts to Watch
SPX forward volatility term structure illustrates how equitymarkets are keeping eyes on the Fed, jobs and inflation as a
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Global Economics Weekly Key Global Data
A summary of forthcoming data releases and market-moving
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Bits & pieces
UnDebtfeatable - The indications are strong that regardless of who wins the US election additional deficits and debt are coming down the pipeline – it’s out of control and can’t be
海外研报
2024年08月27日
Basis Trade Growth Is Massive
(Bloomberg Intelligence) -- Leveraged net shorts of Treasury futures have surged to a historic $1.1trillion in notional value, accelerating 38% in the past four months. While the record short position
海外研报
2024年08月27日
AUD mid-year update: bullish but China & positioning cap upside
AUD: rates tailwind… We continue to see the AUD gradually higher over the next few quarters (year-end ’24 forecast: 0.69/ year-end ’25: 0.72) but near-term upside is likely to be capped by the
海外研报
2024年08月27日
